Outlook for California districts in 2012 - Post-Primary Edition
Here are the updated districts in my "Outlook" series. I used the Cook PVI on the registration numbers and election results. Averaging these numbers gave PF's that are mostly Republican-leaning, as...
View ArticleAnalysis of 2012 California U.S. House Races
Now that the primary dust is settled and I have some time, I can present my analysis of the California districts this year. With top-two, we have some more interesting races to watch. With the lack of...
View ArticleHuffPo: Blue Dog Congressman resigns immediately, joins law firm.
According to Huffington Post, CA-18 Blue Dog Dennis Cardoza made a surprising announcement that he was going to resign immediately."In light of the fact that nothing is going to happen for the rest of...
View ArticleOutlook for California districts in 2012 - Post-Convention Edition
I know it's been a month since the conventions, but I have been very busy in that time.Here are the updated districts in my "Outlook" series. From my formula predictions on all states' elections, which...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Democrats lead in seven of nine uncalled...
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.Leading Off: • A number of races nationwide were uncalled when we put our Tuesday...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: California's remaining Republicans turn...
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.Leading Off: •California: It can't have been easy to write a piece on the GOP "bench" in...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Boston's Scott Brown will explore a...
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.Leading Off: •NH-Sen: After months and months of head-fakes, teases, and dilly-dallying,...
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Picking up the pieces: A look at 2014's uncalled races
It looks like Democratic Sen. Mark Warner has kept his seat by the skin of his teeth. We have several contests that have not been called for one party or the other as of Wednesday afternoon. You can...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Holy mackerel, were the polls wrong!
Points below the diagonal line show polling averages that were too friendly to Democrats.Leading Off:•Polltopia: A few days ago, we wrote a post about how the polls can be wrong. In that we post, we...
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The view from California: Top election storylines from the Golden State, Part 1
Four more years for Jerry Brown. And he didn't even have to work at it. When we last had a Republican wave election in 2010, California was spared. The high Sierras held back the red tsunami as...
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Overtime report: An updated look at 2014's uncalled races
Democratic Rep. Ron Barber Several races remain uncalled as of Thursday. We recently ran through them here and we have updates below for any contests where we have new details. You can check who has...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: National Democrats triage Mary Landrieu
Mary LandrieuLeading Off:•LA-Sen: On Tuesday, Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy were forced into a Dec. 6 runoff as expected. However, if the jungle primary numbers are any...
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Mark Warner wins as other candidates await their fate: An updated look at...
Democratic Sen. Mark Warner (left) has narrowly won re-election Several races remain uncalled as of Friday morning. We recently ran through them here and we have updates below for any contests where we...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: North Carolina Democrats get ready for...
North Carolina Republican Gov. Pat McCroryLeading Off:•NC-Gov: Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper has not officially announced whether or not he'll run against Republican Gov. Pat McCrory in 2016,...
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An Arizona swing seat comes down to the wire: An updated look at 2014's...
Democratic Rep. Ron Barber (middle) Several races remain uncalled as of Friday morning. You can check who has won each key race at our race tracker here, and you can also keep an eye on our...
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How four 'safe' Democratic incumbents almost lost their seats
Democratic Rep. Jim Costa (middle) may have lost his seat on Tuesday after taking his re-election for granted Democrats were expecting a rough election night last Tuesday, but four incumbents came...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: A Republican retirement opens up a swing...
Retiring Republican Rep. Mike FitzpatrickLeading Off:•PA-08: Woohoo! We already have our first retirement in a competitive House district for the 2016 elections—and it's good news for the blue team....
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Late ballots start to break Ami Bera's way: An updated look at 2014's...
Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is down but not out Several races remain uncalled as of Tuesday morning: Here is a roundup of what we know for each race. You can check who has won each key contest at our race...
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Dan Sullivan wins as Sean Parnell continues to trail: An updated look at...
Republican Gov. Sean Parnell Several races remain uncalled as of Wednesday morning. We recently ran through them here and here is an update for each race where we have new information. You can check...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Democrat Ami Bera surges into the lead in...
Democratic Rep. Ami BeraLeading Off:•CA-07: On Wednesday, Democratic Rep. Ami Bera took the lead for the first time. An additional 22,839 ballots (more than we believed were still out) were counted and...
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Ami Bera pulls into the lead in tight swing district race: An updated look at...
Democratic Rep. Ami Bera Several races remain uncalled as of Thursday morning. We recently ran through them here and here is an update for each race where we have new information. You can check who has...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: How to save a Senate seat in Missouri
Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskillLeading Off:•MO-Gov: Despite Democrats losing control of the Senate, no one challenged Harry Reid for the position of minority leader, though at least half a dozen...
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America gets its only independent governor: An updated look at 2014's...
Independent Gov.-elect Bill Walker (left) and Democratic Lt. Gov-elect Byron Mallott (right)•AK-Gov: On Friday 26,300 more ballots were counted, and independent Bill Walker netted over 600 votes....
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: The battle begins to succeed Julian...
2014 Democratic lieutenant governor nominee and San Antonio mayoral candidate Leticia Van de PutteLeading Off:•San Antonio Mayor: Plenty of big cities will hold mayoral elections next year, and it...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Democrats look to retake lost Downstate...
Republican Rep. Mike Bost is expected to be a top Democratic targetLeading Off: •IL-12: Former Democratic Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon emerged as a potential contender against freshman Republican Rep. Mike...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: DSCC tries to anoint Catherine Cortez...
Catherine Cortez Masto (at left)Leading Off: •NV-Sen: On Wednesday, former Democratic Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto announced that she would run to succeed retiring Sen. Harry Reid. The DSCC...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Furious over RFRA, a legit Republican...
Indiana Republican Gov. Mike PenceLeading Off: •IN-Gov: Well, this would be fascinating. Bill Oesterle, a Republican who managed Mitch Daniels' first campaign for governor in 2004, just stepped down as...
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One of the worst Democrats in Congress may finally face a real primary challenge
Democratic Rep. Jim Costa Rep. Jim Costa is one of the biggest pains in the Democratic caucus. Despite representing a seat Obama won 59-39, Costa has one of the most conservative voting records of any...
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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Labor aims to beat one of the House's...
California Democratic Rep. Jim CostaLeading Off: •CA-16: Rep. Jim Costa is one of the biggest pains in the Democratic caucus. Despite representing a seat that Obama won 59-39, Costa has one of the most...
View ArticleMorning Digest: America's most reviled sheriff might finally get the boot...
Leading Off:●Maricopa County, AZ: Republican Joe Arpaio has spent his two-plus decades as Maricopa County sheriff cultivating his reputation as the most notorious law enforcement official in America....
View ArticleMorning Digest: North Carolina's congressional map gets struck down, but Dems...
Leading Off:●NC Redistricting: Late on Friday afternoon, a federal court hearing a challenge to North Carolina's congressional map found that Republicans drew two districts, the 1st and the 12th, in...
View ArticleMorning Digest: A new poll gives Utah Democrat Doug Owens a 6-point lead...
Leading Off:●UT-04: On behalf of the Salt Lake Tribune and the University of Utah's Hinckley Institute, SurveyUSA takes a look at the rematch between freshman Republican Rep. Mia Love and Democrat Doug...
View ArticleCalifornia Outlook (US House Races)
This diary will look at the competitive House elections in California. There are two important events that help shape this year's elections. Firstly, instead the boring old incumbent protection maps...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Putin's favorite congressman not finding many rubles in the...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Illinois incumbents Rauner and Lipinski narrowly hang on...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Colorado GOP Rep. Doug Lamborn thrown off ballot, says he'll...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James...
View ArticleMorning Digest: The surest way for indicted GOP congressman to get off the...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James...
View ArticleMorning Digest: NRCC pulls the plug on vulnerable Pennsylvania GOP congressman
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James...
View ArticleFresno city councilor doesn't rule out primary bid against conservative...
On Sunday, Fresno Councilor Esmeralda Soria did not rule out challenging Rep. Jim Costa, a fellow Democrat, in California’s 16th Congressional District. Costa is a member of the conservative Blue Dog...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Infamous vote suppressor and anti-immigrant activist joins...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Centrist California Democrat in blue House seat draws...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Anti-tax ballot measure activist will challenge Washington's...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Grandson of George H.W. Bush joins GOP primary for swingy...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleRepublicans hope to rebound from their Golden State hammering. Their outlook...
Candidate filing has closed for California's March 3 top-two primary, which will be held on the same day as the state's presidential primary, and we’ll be running down the state of play in key...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Anti-tax hardliners spend big to beat Texas' only GOP...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: 'The fix is in': Bitter charges follow GOP's choice to...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Competitive race to succeed longtime GOP congressman begins...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Alabama Republicans air each other's dirty laundry ahead of...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Montana's governor may run against GOP senator in a boon to...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
View ArticleMorning Digest: Montana Democrats land their top candidate to challenge GOP...
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel...
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